W hen Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul declared on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, that “I’m not interested in how the trade talks or tariffs are going anymore. If we can’t sell to [the US], we will find another country to sell to,” many ultra-nationalists felt it was a proud moment, a declaration of independence, an example of Thailand that can say ‘NO’ to the United States and Donald Trump.
The declaration was made after Anutin had unilaterally nullified the Kuala Lumpur Peace Declaration (KLPC) between Thailand and Cambodia following the loss of a Thai soldier’s ankle after the officer stepped on a landmine along the Thai-Cambodian border—a landmine that the majority on the Thai side fully believe was newly laid by the Cambodian side in violation of the peace agreement.
Anutin quickly won the hearts and minds of ultra-nationalists and nationalists, but less than four days later, he would capitulate and tell the public that he had received a call from Trump regarding the peace accord and took the opportunity to request that Trump reduce the tariffs further from the current expected rate of 19 per cent.
Just hours later came the bombshell.
The Thai Foreign Ministry announced yesterday afternoon that the US Trade Representative had informed them that they were putting the negotiation on hold pending Thailand’s return to the commitment to the ceasefire declaration with Cambodia.
About 10 hours later, shortly before 2 a.m. today, November 16, 2025, Anutin posted a message on Facebook from Beijing, where he is part of the entourage of Their Majesties the King and Queen, who are currently on a state visit to China.
Anutin posted on Facebook saying Malaysian Prime Minister and ASEAN Chair Anwar Ibrahim had called him again and said that Trump had assured him he would separate the KL peace declaration issue from the tariff issue. The Thai PM also mentioned that Anwar would post a confirmation of this.
Ten hours have passed as of press time today, and Anwar still hasn’t posted any confirmation. However, we’ll wait for a full 24 hours and afford Anutin the benefit of the doubt, or wait for the US Trade Representative to confirm the matter. I cannot readily believe Anutin because it was less than a week ago, on November 12, when he declared he didn’t care about the Trump tariff.
Yet, the timing of Anutin’s latest Facebook post appeared to be exigent in nature because it was made shortly before 2 a.m. this morning.
If Anutin hadn’t spoken so brazenly and without forethought, saying he didn’t care about Trump’s tariffs, Thailand probably wouldn’t have reached this point today.
Another bizarre matter is the deputy leader of the main opposition People’s Party, Ms Sirikanya Tansakul, criticized Anutin, saying the PM made a tactical blunder: instead of having the US pressure Cambodia, Thailand itself ended up having the trade talks suspended.
Leaders People’s Party refuse to acknowledge that they are the ones who handed Anutin the 14 million votes on a silver platter, enabling him to become an ‘accidental’ Prime Minister. Yet today, they pretend not to see the significant role they and their own party played in creating this problem. I suspect there are no mirrors in their party’s headquarters or in the homes of their key leaders, because they are able to criticize Anutin without reflexivity and not sense the irony of the situation.
If I were a People’s Party MP, by now I would have publicly apologised for having voted Anutin into power, out of shame and a sense of contrition.
Back to Anutin’s haughty remark, I wonder if he had thought things through or was it just a remark driven by the ‘accidental-PM’ adrenalin, and whether he now regrets what he has said.
Without doubt, the US is using a heavy hand to show its superpower might by suspending tariff negotiations with Thailand until the country complies with the KL Peace Declaration. Thais must be level-headed on this matter. We must yield where necessary, or the economic impact will be immense. In 2024, Thailand’s trade surplus with America was 1.2 trillion baht.
Ultra-nationalist fanatics who do not see the bigger picture should wake up and realise that Thailand is not a superpower, nor is it even remotely a power on the level of Russia or South Korea. If Thais do not want to live a self-sufficient way of life, we must trade. At times we must comply even if this is not what many desire and remember how nasty the US can be in exercising its power.
Now Anutin and Thailand are being cornered and losing face, however. The Thai Foreign Ministry has failed to rein in Anutin’s lack of experience in international affairs, where he overestimated the limits of Thai power in the global arena.
And this is a PM propped up by the People’s Party, with PP leader Natthapong Ruengpanyawut saying he voted for Anutin to become PM to dissolve the Parliament after 4 months and to amend the constitution. Now Anutin is at risk of causing severe damage to the Thai economy and has caused a loss of face for not just himself but for Thailand on the international stage.
Why would Thailand put itself in a compromised situation where it would face US coercion and public humiliation? Only an inexperienced PM, the Foreign Minister, or the Foreign Ministry could answer that.
Humiliation aside, some Thais were outraged at America’s undiplomatic move and say they are ready to say no to Trump and the US.
One well-known lawyer, Paisarn Chuayduay, declared yesterday, “The U.S. is pressuring Thailand on taxes. What do the Thai people say? For me, I am ready to fight. The United States is not the father.” (It should be “my father” but he wrote it in English.)
The problem is, if we follow this reckless impulse, then tens of millions of Thais will suffer and be affected because their livelihoods are tied, directly or indirectly, to export businesses to America. Then who will take responsibility? Can Paisarn step in and take responsibility? If not, ultra-nationalists should not be so boastful and cause millions of Thais unnecessary economic hardship.
On X yesterday, a Thai asked me:
“Do we have to agree to everything the U.S. says like this? Is what the U.S. is doing to us worthy of being Thailand’s great friend?”
My reply: “Only a fool thinks America is Thailand’s great friend. That’s just a fancy phrase for diplomatic dinners. Thailand has a trade surplus of 1.2 trillion baht with America. Thai exports to the U.S. amounts to around 20% of the total of Thai exports. This, versus fighting for the satisfaction of xenophobic nationalists… Even a first-grader can answer what is more beneficial for the Thai people.”
BTW, this writer has been advocating for less dependency on both the US and China. Thailand should not be too dependent on any nation, as if we are, then they can wield too much power over us. It’s in the hegemonic nature of any superpower to have to exert control over lesser powers in order to maintain its status and power, sometimes more subtle, other times less subtle and undiplomatic as the US had crudely demonstrated to Thailand this week.
Thailand needs to seek new markets for trade and deepen its economic relations with other countries that are not superpowers if we do not want to be at the mercy of eithet the US or China, or both.
It seems many ultra-nationalist Thais are now unable to think rationally, however. Now, tell me more about ultra-nationalism elsewhere.
……
Note: Shortly after the article was penned and before it was published, Malaysian Prime Ministe and ASEAN Chair Anwar Ibrahim posted the following message on Facebook regarding the Thai-Cambodian peace accord and Thailand’s tariff negotiations with the US. The post was made shortly before 1pm Bangkok time.
“During my conversation with President Donald J. Trump, Prime Minister Hun Manet, and Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul, we reaffirmed our commitment to ensuring the full and effective implementation of the Kuala Lumpur Peace Accord. We also concurred that meaningful progress must be made on the issue of demining, without involving any form of trade cooperation.
“I continue to appreciate President Trump’s personal and active commitment to resolving this matter.”
___