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Opinion: What Institutional Investors Want to Know About Thai Politics?

PM Srettha Thavisin waves to reporters as he enjoys his coffee at the steps of the Government House on Nov. 23, 2023.
PM Srettha Thavisin waves to reporters as he enjoys his coffee at the steps of the Government House on Nov. 23, 2023.

The Thai office of a global bank invited me for lunch earlier this week to discuss Thai political prospects with a group of 20 Thai and foreign institutional investors on their semi-annual macro trip to the region to get a better sense of the state of Thai economy and politics.

Though I am not at liberty to reveal the name of the bank, the six questions submitted by the Thai chief economist (and vice president) shows institutional investors are concerned about stability and predictability of Thai politics, which definitely will have a repercussion of the economy and it is worth having a look.

Here are the six questions sent to me in English and my notes for the answers that I gave them while trying to manage my lunch on Thursday in Bangkok.

  1. In your view, what are the differences between Prayut’s and Srettha’s administration, given that several coalition partners are unchanged. Might a Pheu Thai-led government be more progressive in economic reforms?

Answer: This is not a military-led government, and the Pheu Thai Party is more business-oriented. Given the current precarious state of the economy, PM Srettha will have to try hard to revive the flagging economy so national security issues are now in the back seat. The military are now content in watching how Srettha will fare while they have their proxy parties in the coalition. I don’t think Srettha wants to unnecessarily break the bank of some very influential big businesses in certain sectors such as energy, however. The government would then be attracting too many powerful enemies.

  1. How do you assess the stability of the current coalition government? Do you see the possibility of an early election in 2024? What might be the triggers for such an event?

Answer: It’s fairly stable for the meantime. Only a major economic crisis could undermine the current administration next year. Many citizens have faced years of political conflicts and junta’s rules, and they now want to see the government focus on bread and butter issues. There’s a political fatigue and little appetite for political protests while the military junta have failed to deliver over the near decade in power so people also will reject another coup attempt. They want to see what Srettha can achieve, and he will be given time to prove himself.

  1. Thailand has seen several violent protests by the younger generation during the pandemic. Do you expect any protests in 2024 and what might be the triggers for such events?

Answer: It’s possible, especially if more young Thais are being locked up under the controversial and anachronistic lese majeste law which carries a maximum imprisonment term of 15 years for effectively not just defaming or insulting, but criticizing the monarchy. If some prominent political detainees, particularly prisoners of conscience such as monarchy-reform protest co-leader Arnon Nampa, die in prison, then one can expect a mass protest on the streets of Bangkok.

  1. Do you expect much progress in constitutional reform by 2025? Why or why not?

Answer: Not really. Progress will be slow. It’s customary for the sitting government to dissolve the House and call for fresh elections once a new charter is in place, so the government is expected to stall in order to buy more time in power.

  1. The progressive Move Forward Party and its former leader Pita still have charges against them pending at the Constitutional Court. What outcomes do you expect for them, and how might society and their supporters react?

Answer: I believe the established elites will read the room when it comes to the political mood in the months ahead and see if they could get away with it before making the final decision. Judging by history, one can never rule out a party dissolution and political ban for Pita. This could reignite a new round of massive street protest accompanied by political uncertainties.

  1. How do you see the role of the Shinawatra family in the coming years with the rise of PT leader Paethongtarn [Shinawatra] and return of Mr Thaksin?

Answer: The Shinawatra family will continue to exert and expand its dynastic political base and influence now that it has struck a truce with the established elites under a new political landscape where it is seen as the lesser of the two evils compared to Move Forward Party and the monarchy-reform (as well as anti-monarchy) movements. The success of the Shinawatra clan will largely depend on how successfully the government handles the economy, particularly if they can significantly improve the lot of the poor and the working class and be able to continue to appease the established old elites as well as the military.

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Thai Police Chase Six Vietnamese Who Ran Away In The City

Upon arriving at the prosecutor’s office, 6 Vietnamese illegal immigrants opened the car door and ran away.

LAMPANG – Thai police in Lampang Province, northern Thailand, had spent the entire day chasing six Vietnamese individuals who ran away on their way to the public prosecutor’s office.

Local police at Sop Prap police station said they noticed a suspicious Toyota SUV with five passengers on Saturday morning, December 2. They initially thought these people were dealing illegal drugs and asked for a phone check.

At that moment, an 18-wheeled articulated truck pulled up, so the police signaled for it to stop and be checked. The passengers in these two cars were talking on their phones.

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Police found two Vietnamese women hiding in a temple opposite the prosecutor’s office.

During the investigation, many water tanks are discovered, but when they are lifted up, they find 17 illegal Vietnamese nationals hiding. The police then arrest 5 Thai and 17 Vietnamese nationals.

Upon arriving at the prosecutor’s office, 6 Vietnamese illegal immigrants, both men and women, opened the car door and ran away.

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The last two Vietnamese men were arrested at night.

The local police reported the incident to the 191 call center and received further assistance. They managed to arrest 2 Vietnamese women who were hiding in a temple opposite the prosecutor’s office. Both admitted that they were shocked and scared, so they decided to just run away.

Later, the police were able to arrest 2 other Vietnamese men who were near a grocery store about 2 kilometers from the policeman’s office.

The last two men people were arrested at night in a hotel in Lampang, 2 kilometers from the scene. The 5 Thai nationals were taken to the prisons.

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Euro 2024: A Group Look At The Draw After Live Overshadowed By Prank

The head coaches of Hungary Marco Rossi, left, Switzerland Murat Yakin, center, and Germany Julian Nagelsmann, right, pose next to the trophy after the draw for the UEFA Euro 2024 soccer tournament finals in Hamburg, Germany, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

HAMBURG, Germany (AP) — The draw ceremony for the European Championship in men’s soccer was disrupted by unexplained noises that competed for attention with the team names being read out on stage on Saturday.

The interruption, which seemed to sound like sexual noises, was clearly heard for several minutes on the ceremony broadcast from a concert hall in Hamburg.

A British prankster claimed credit on social media for the stunt and posted footage of himself making cell phone calls to activate a ring tone in the venue which has excellent accoustics.

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Former soccer player Brian Laudrup holds up the name Switzerland during the draw for the UEFA Euro 2024 soccer tournament finals in Hamburg, Germany, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

UEFA director of competitions Giorgio Marchetti noted the noise in his commentary before continuing with the draw for the last five places for lower-ranked teams in the 24-nation tournament lineup. The sound continued sporadically until the draw was completed.

Similar noises disrupted a BBC live broadcast of an English soccer game in January between Wolverhampton and Liverpool. It turned out to be a prank use of a mobile phone next to the studio.

Euro 2024 is being played in 10 Germany cities from June 14 to July 14.

A Group Look At The Draw For The European Championship

GROUP A

Germany, Hungary, Scotland, Switzerland

Host Germany had a year to forget in 2023 but can look to 2024 with optimism.

The draw was relatively kind to coach Julian Nagelsmann who, since being hired in September, has overseen two of the team’s six losses in 13 friendlies.

Germany’s first competitive game since a group stage exit at the 2022 World Cup will be a June 14 tournament opener in Munich against a Scotland. The Scots beat Spain in qualifying but have little tournament track record.

Hungary did test Germany in their Euro 2020 group, taking a two-goal lead in a 2-2 draw, but failed to qualify for the World Cup.

Switzerland is in turmoil and coach Murat Yakin’s federation bosses had to give him a vote of confidence midweek just to attend the draw. Yakin has widely reported tense relations with his captain Granit Xhaka.

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Former soccer Gianluigi Buffon holds up the name Germany during the draw for the UEFA Euro 2024 soccer tournament finals in Hamburg, Germany, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

GROUP B

Spain, Albania, Croatia, Italy

It wouldn’t be a Euro tournament without Spain vs Italy, winners of three of the past four titles.

Their June 20 game in Gelsenkirchen makes it five straight meetings dating to the Euro 2008 quarterfinals.

Croatia was eliminated from Euro 2020 by Spain’s thrilling 5-3 extra-time win in the round of 16, but one of the most resilient teams in soccer has thrived in tough groups at World Cups.

With Real Madrid playmaker Luka Modrić still orchestrating the team at age 38, Croatia can never be underestimated.

Albania won its qualifying group ahead of more fancied Poland and the Czech Republic, and was ranked in the draw seedings above Croatia and Italy. The team that will play at just its second major tournament has found inspiration under Brazilian coach Sylvinho.

“Our opponents are used to playing in European and World Cup finals,” said Sylvinho, the former Arsenal and Barcelona left back.

GROUP C

England, Denmark, Slovenia, Serbia

England and France were the standout European teams at the 2022 World Cup and went unbeaten through qualifying.

England also has, in Bayern Munich forward Harry Kane and Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham, two free-scoring and arguably the most in-form players in world soccer.

“They are used to playing in big matches together and individually, so we are excited and all looking forward to the summer,” England coach Gareth Southgate said.

Still, a June 16 start against Serbia in Gelsenkirchen will be a test before facing a Denmark team which got seven goals in qualifying from Rasmus Højlund, signed by Manchester United after the club could not get Kane.

Slovenia lost to England 1-0 at its last major tournament, the 2010 World Cup in South Africa, and shapes as the outsider at its first Euro since 2000.

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A scoreboard shows the final draw, except the play-off winners during the draw for the UEFA Euro 2024 soccer tournament finals in Hamburg, Germany, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)

GROUP D

France, Austria, Netherlands, Playoff winner (Poland, Estonia, Wales or Finland)

France is soccer’s No. 2-ranked team behind Argentina, and the World Cup beaten finalist last year and champion in 2018.

Still, France fell out of Euro 2020 in the round of 16, against Switzerland, and this group is among the more difficult.

Austria impressed in qualifying yet coach Ralf Rangnick spoke of drawing “probably the most difficult we could get” from draw pots one and three.

France and the Netherlands will meet in their second game, on June 21 in Leipzig. France won 4-0 at home and 2-1 in Amsterdam when they met in the qualifying group.

Another possible bump in the road for France — the Group D winner cannot meet a third-place team from another group in the round. Awaiting them is the runner-up from Group F.

GROUP E

Belgium, Romania, Slovakia, Playoff winner (Israel, Iceland, Bosnia-Herzegovina or Ukraine)

Belgium is no longer in its “Golden Generation” era but a team with Thibaut Courtois, Kevin de Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku at its core should still be formidable. Albeit, Courtois and De Bruyne have been out injured since the start of the season.

Winger Jeremy Doku’s flourishing on the left wing at Manchester City makes him a more feared prospect than when he was emerging during Euro 2020, where Belgium lost a quarterfinal to Italy.

Belgium’s opening games against Slovakia and Romania add up to a simple start for a top-seeded team.

The fourth group member could be Israel or Ukraine, who are playing in neutral countries with domestic leagues disrupted while their nations are at war. Israel at Euro 2024 would present the biggest security planning issue for German authorities.

GROUP F

Portugal, Turkey, Czech Republic, Playoff winner (Georgia, Luxembourg, Greece or Kazakhstan)

Portugal and Cristiano Ronaldo can be feeling déjà vu here. They faced Turkey and the Czechs in the group stage of Euro 2008, with co-host Switzerland.

Portugal topped the standings that time and will be fancied to do so again after sweeping through qualifying with a perfect 10 wins and 10 goals from its 38-year-old superstar.

Turkey surprised by winning a qualifying group ahead of Croatia, though has disappointed at the past two Euros when arriving with fashionable predictions of success.

UEFA gifts a tournament entry in the playoffs to the third-tier of member nations and this group is where that team will land: Greece was the Euro 2004 champion and the others would be tournament novices.

Portugal was the Euro 2016 champion, when it also was the late starter in Group F. The Portuguese and Czechs will be the last teams to begin play, when they meet on June 18 in Leipzig.

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Six More Released Hostages Will Return To Thailand On Dec.4

Thai hostages, who were previously released, hug their newly-freed compatriots at the Shamir Medical Center in Israel, Tuesday, Nov. 28, 2023. (Thailand's Foreign Ministry via AP )

BANGKOK – Mrs. Kanchana Phattharachoke, a Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson, stated on December 2 that the six released hostages will return to Thailand on December 4, 2023, on El Al Airlines flight LY. 081, which arrived at Suvarnabhumi Airport at approximately 12.15 p.m. with the following names:

  1. Mr. Phatthanayuth DonSokri 
  2. Mr. Owas Suriyasri
  3. Mr. Paiboon Rattanil
  4. Mr. Kong Sae Lao
  5. Mr. Chakraphan Sikena
  6. Mr. Chalermchai Saengkaew

Panpree Phitthanukorn, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, had previously flown to Israel on November 28-29 to visit and receive Thais who had been taken captive and had been released. On November 30, the first three waves of 17 persons returned to Thailand.

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Two newly-freed Thai hostages hug Thai Foreign Minister Parnpree Bahiddha-Nukara, center, at the Shamir Medical Center in Israel, Tuesday, Nov. 28, 2023. (Thailand’s Foreign Ministry via AP )

“It is estimated that there are still nine Thai people being held hostages, and the Thai government will do its utmost to help ensure their safe release as soon as possible,” said the spokesperson.

On the same day, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs made the following statement in response to the resumption of hostilities in Gaza:

“Thailand is gravely concerned with the resumption of fighting in Gaza since 1 December 2023, following a seven-day truce, and is saddened to see the rise in numbers of casualties.

Thailand calls on all parties to avoid further hostilities, and return to the negotiations to extend the truce so that humanitarian assistance can reach those in need, further loss and bloodshed can be avoided, and  a sustainable solution can be found.”

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hailand’s Foreign Minister Parnpree Bahiddha-Nukara, held a press conference with Thai hostages who were freed from Hamas after they arrived at Suvarnabhumi International Airport, Nov. 30, 2023.
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Ms. Phannapa Chandrarom, Thai Ambassador in Tel Aviv and Mr. Chulawat Narintharangkun Na Ayutthaya, visit two newly-freed Thai hostages on Dec. 1.

The Associated Press reported that Israeli strikes on houses and buildings have killed at least 178 people throughout the Gaza Strip in the first hours of fighting after a weeklong truce collapsed Friday, according to the Health Ministry there.

Israel said it struck more than 200 Hamas targets. Militants in Gaza resumed firing rockets into Israel, and fighting broke out between Israel and Hezbollah militants operating along Israel’s northern border with Lebanon.

Cease-fire mediator Qatar said efforts are ongoing to renew the truce, which saw Israel pause most military activity in Gaza and release 300 Palestinian prisoners in exchange for militants freeing over 100 hostages held in Gaza.

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Palestinians flee from east to west of Khan Younis, Gaza Strip, during the ongoing Israeli bombardment, Saturday, Dec. 2, 2023. (AP Photo/Fatima Shbair)

Weeks of Israeli bombardment and a ground campaign have left homeless more than three-quarters of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents, causing a humanitarian crisis as they face widespread shortages of food, water and other supplies. No trucks carrying aid entered Gaza from Egypt on Friday, Palestinians authorities said.

Up until the truce began, more than 13,300 Palestinians have been killed — roughly two-thirds of them women and minors — according to the Health Ministry in Hamas-ruled Gaza. The toll is likely much higher. Some 1,200 Israelis were killed, mostly during Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack on Israel that triggered the war.

During the truce, which began Nov. 24, Hamas and other militants in Gaza released more than 100 hostages — 81 Israelis and 24 from other nationalities, mainly Thais. Israel freed 240 Palestinians from its prisons. Virtually all from both sides were women and children.

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A Pickup Truck Hits A Motorbike and Catches fire, Killing A British

CHACHOENGSAOPolice in Chachoengsao Province are searching for a pickup truck driver who hit a foreigner on a motorcycle, causing it to catch fire. A British rider identified as Michael Jakob, 59, died later at the hospital.

The accident happened at 3:30 p.m. on December 2, on road 304, Chang Phanom Sarakham-Khao Hin Son, Koh Khanun Subdistrict, in the U-Turn area. A large bike had been hit and caught fire. The entire vehicle had been ruined, while the pickup truck escaped from the scence heading towards Kabin Buri.

The badly injured British driver was brought to Phanom Sarakham Hospital by Phanom Sarakham Rescue Volunteers, where he eventually died.

Two foreign friends of a deceased person reported that they rode motorcycles with the British and saw their friend’s motorcycle strike, lose control, crash, and catch fire when they arrived at the scene.

The camera on their motorcycle filmed the entire incident, and there was also a CCTV camera in the surrounding area that captured the footage utilised by the police to find the pickup truck driver for further prosecution.

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Police Charge Director Of Miss Nicaragua Pageant With Running ‘Beauty Queen Coup’ Plot

Miss Nicaragua Sheynnis Palacios smiles after being crowned Miss Universe at the 72nd Miss Universe Beauty Pageant in San Salvador, El Salvador, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Moises Castillo)

MEXICO CITY (AP) — Nicaraguan police said Friday they want to arrest the director of the Miss Nicaragua pageant, accusing her of intentionally rigging contests so that anti-government beauty queens would win the pageants as part of a plot to overthrow the government.

The charges against pageant director Karen Celebertti would not be out of place in a vintage James Bond movie with a repressive, closed off government, coup-plotting claims, foreign agents and beauty queens.

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Miss Nicaragua Sheynnis Palacios reacts after being crowned Miss Universe at the 72nd Miss Universe Beauty Pageant in San Salvador, El Salvador, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Moises Castillo)

It all started Nov. 18, when Miss Nicaragua, Nicaragua’s Sheynnis Palacios won the Miss Universe competition. The government of President Daniel Ortega briefly thought it had scored a rare public relations victory, calling her win a moment of “legitimate joy and pride.”

But the tone quickly soured the day after the win when it emerged that Palacios had posted photos of herself on Facebook participating in one of the mass anti-government protests in 2018.

The protests were violently repressed, and human rights officials say 355 people were killed by government forces. Ortega claimed the protests were an attempted coup with foreign backing, aiming for his overthrow. His opponents said Nicaraguans were protesting his increasingly repressive rule and seemingly endless urge to hold on to power.

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FILE – Nicaragua’s President Daniel Ortega and his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo, lead a rally in Managua, Nicaragua, Sept. 6, 2018.  (AP Photo/Alfredo Zuniga, File)

A statement by the National Police claimed Celebertti “participated actively, on the internet and in the streets in the terrorist actions of a failed coup,” an apparent reference to the 2018 protests.

Celebertti apparently slipped through the hands of police after she was reportedly denied permission to enter the country a few days ago. But some local media reported that her son and husband had been taken into custody.

Celebertti, her husband and son face charges of “treason to the motherland.” They have not spoken publicly about the charges against them.

Celebertti “remained in contact with the traitors, and offered to employ the franchises, platforms and spaces supposedly used to promote ‘innocent’ beauty pageants, in a conspiracy orchestrated to convert the contests into traps and political ambushes financed by foreign agents,” according to the statement.

It didn’t help that many ordinary Nicaraguans — who are largely forbidden to protest or carry the national flag in marches — took advantage of the Miss Universe win as a rare opportunity to celebrate in the streets.

Their use of the blue-and-white national flag, as opposed to Ortega’s red-and-black Sandinista banner, further angered the government, who claimed the plotters “would take to the streets again in December, in a repeat of history’s worst chapter of vileness.”

Just five days after Palacio’s win, Vice President and First Lady Rosario Murillo was lashing out at opposition social media sites (many run from exile) that celebrated Palacios’ win as a victory for the opposition.

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Miss Nicaragua Sheynnis Palacios participates in the evening gown category during the 72nd Miss Universe Beauty Pageant in San Salvador, El Salvador, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Moises Castillo)

“In these days of a new victory, we are seeing the evil, terrorist commentators making a clumsy and insulting attempt to turn what should be a beautiful and well-deserved moment of pride into destructive coup-mongering,” Murillo said.

Ortega’s government seized and closed the Jesuit University of Central America in Nicaragua, which was a hub for 2018 protests against the Ortega regime, along with at least 26 other Nicaraguan universities.

The government has also outlawed or closed more than 3,000 civic groups and non-governmental organizations, arrested and expelled opponents, stripped them of their citizenship and confiscated their assets. Thousands have fled into exile.

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Miss Thailand Anntonia Porsild, from left, Miss Australia Moraya Wilson and Miss Nicaragua Sheynnis Palacios, react after being named the final three contestants during the 72nd Miss Universe pageant, in San Salvador, El Salvador, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Moises Castillo)

Palacios, who became the first Nicaraguan to win Miss Universe, has not commented on the situation.

During the contest, Palacios, 23, said she wants to work to promote mental health after suffering debilitating bouts of anxiety herself. She also said she wants to work to close the salary gap between the genders.

But on a since-deleted Facebook account under her name, Palacios posted photos of herself at a protest, writing she had initially been afraid of participating. “I didn’t know whether to go, I was afraid of what might happen.”

Some who attended the march that day recall seeing the tall, striking Palacios there.

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Israeli Airstrikes On Gaza Resume After Weeklong Truce With Hamas Ends

Rockets are fired toward Israel from the Gaza Strip, as seen from southern Israel, Friday, Dec. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Ariel Schalit)

KHAN YOUNIS, Gaza Strip (AP) — Israel’s war with Hamas erupted again Friday, as airstrikes hit houses and buildings in the Gaza Strip minutes after a weeklong truce expired. Black smoke billowed from the besieged territory, where health authorities reported dozens of Palestinians killed and Israel dropped leaflets over Gaza City and southern parts of the enclave, urging civilians to flee to avoid the fighting.

Militants in Gaza resumed firing rockets into Israel, and fighting broke out between Israel and Hezbollah militants operating along its northern border with Lebanon.

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Rockets are fired toward Israel from the Gaza Strip, as seen from southern Israel, Friday, Dec. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Ariel Schalit)

The resumption of the war threatens to compound the suffering in Gaza. Some 2 million people — almost its entire population — are crammed into the territory’s south, where Israel urged people to relocate at the war’s start and has since vowed to extend its ground assault. Unable to go into north Gaza or neighboring Egypt, their only escape is to move around within the 85-square-mile area (220 square kilometers).

Renewed hostilities also heighten concerns for about 140 hostages still held captive by Hamas and other militants, after more than 100 were freed during the truce.

Qatar, which has served as a mediator along with Egypt, said negotiators were still trying to reach an agreement on restarting the cease-fire. Israel and Hamas traded blame for ending the truce, but Qatar’s Foreign Ministry singled out Israel’s role in the resumption of fighting, saying it “complicates mediation efforts and exacerbates the humanitarian catastrophe.”

A day earlier, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Israeli officials and urged them to do more to protect Palestinian civilians as they seek to destroy Hamas. Blinken was to meet Friday with Arab foreign ministers at global climate talks in Dubai.

It was not clear to what extent Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will heed the appeals of the United States, Israel’s most important ally.

Netanyahu’s office said Friday that Israel “is committed to achieving the goals of the war,” including releasing the hostages and eliminating Hamas, which has ruled Gaza since 2007.

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Palestinians look at smoke following an Israeli airstrike in Khan Younis, Gaza Strip, Friday, Dec. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Fatima Shbair)

In response to the U.S. calls, the Israeli military released a map dividing the Gaza Strip into hundreds of numbered, haphazardly drawn parcels. It asked residents to learn the number associated with their location in case of an eventual evacuation. It was not immediately clear where Palestinians would go, with no safe areas designated on the map.

Hours into the renewed bombardment, Gaza’s Health Ministry said 109 people had been killed and dozens wounded. Israel said it struck more than 200 Hamas targets.

Since the war began, more than 13,300 Palestinians have died, roughly two-thirds of them women and minors, according to Gaza’s Health Ministry, which does not differentiate between civilians and combatants.

The toll is likely much higher, as officials have only sporadically updated the count since Nov. 11. The ministry says thousands more people are feared dead under the rubble.

The war began after the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas and other Palestinian militants, who killed about 1,200 people, mostly civilians, in southern Israel and took around 240 people captive. The New York Times reported that Israel’s military was aware of Hamas ′ plan to launch an attack on Israeli soil over a year before the devastating operation.

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Palestinian mourn relatives were killed in the Israeli bombardment of the Gaza Strip in Deir al Balah on Friday, Dec. 1, 2023. AP Photo/Adel Hana)

RETURN TO BATTLE

About an hour before the cease-fire was to expire early Friday, Israel said it intercepted a volley of rockets fired from Gaza. Minutes after the deadline, the military announced a resumption of combat operations and soon after gave word of new strikes.

In leaflets dropped in southern Gaza, Israel urged people to leave homes east of Khan Younis, warning that the southern town was now a “dangerous battle zone.” Other leaflets warned residents of several neighborhoods in Gaza City in the north to move south.

Hundreds of thousands of people fled northern Gaza to Khan Younis and other parts of the south earlier in the war, part of an extraordinary mass exodus that has left three-quarters of the population displaced and facing widespread shortages of food, water and other supplies.

The International Rescue Committee, an aid group operating in Gaza, warned the return of fighting will “wipe out even the minimal relief” provided by the truce and “prove catastrophic for Palestinian civilians.”

Strikes in Khan Younis hit an apartment in a housing development and destroyed a large building. Residents frantically searched the building’s rubble for survivors, and several wounded children were brought to a nearby hospital.

“We are women and children here. We have nothing,” said Fatima Nshasi, a relative of a family in the building, as women sobbed nearby. “We were going with life as usual, hoping the truce would be extended.”

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Palestinians evacuate wounded in Israeli bombardment Rafah, Gaza Strip, Friday, Dec. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Hatem Ali)

Strikes also hit near Gaza City in the north and in the central Gaza refugee camp of Maghazi, where rescuers clawed through the rubble of a large building. A foot stuck out of the tangle of concrete and wiring.

Israel has said it is targeting Hamas operatives and blames civilian casualties on the group, accusing the militants of operating in residential neighborhoods. Israel says 77 of its soldiers have been killed in the ground offensive in northern Gaza. It claims to have killed thousands of militants, without providing evidence.

Hamas’ armed wing said it fired volleys of rockets from Gaza toward Israeli cities. White smoke trails could be seen over the Israeli town of Sderot on the border with northern Gaza after Israel’s missile protection systems activated.

In Lebanon, Hezbollah said Friday its fighters fired upon a group of Israeli soldiers along the border, the group’s first attack since the truce went into effect. It was not immediately clear if there were casualties.

Israel said a number of launches from Lebanon targeted military posts near the border, and others were directed toward the town of Kiryat Shmona but were intercepted. The military responded with artillery.

COLLAPSED TRUCE

Netanyahu said Hamas had violated the terms of the truce. “It has not met its obligation to release all of the women hostages today and has launched rockets at Israeli citizens,” he said in a statement.

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Smoke rises following an Israeli airstrike in the Gaza Strip, as seen from southern Israel, Friday, Dec. 1, 2023. (AP Photo/Ariel Schalit)

Hamas blamed Israel, saying in a statement that it had rejected all offers Hamas made to release more hostages and bodies of the dead. Senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan told The Associated Press in Beirut that Hamas refused to an Israeli list of 10 female hostages to release because they were soldiers seized at military posts.

Hamas was expected to set a higher price for releasing Israeli soldiers and male hostages, and negotiations for an extension grew tougher with few women and children hostages remaining in Gaza.

Netanyahu has been under intense pressure from families of the hostages to bring them home. But his far-right governing partners have also pushed him to continue the war until Hamas is destroyed, and could abandon his coalition if he is seen as making too many concessions.

During the truce, which began Nov. 24, Hamas and other militants in Gaza released more than 100 hostages in return for 240 Palestinians freed from prisons in Israel. Virtually all from both sides were women and children.

A total of 81 Israelis, including dual nationals, were freed. Another 24 hostages — 23 Thais and one Filipino — were also released, including several men.

The 240 Palestinians released were mostly teenagers accused of throwing stones and firebombs during confrontations with Israeli forces. Several were women who were convicted by military courts of attempting to attack soldiers.

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Jeffery reported from Cairo and Frankel from Jerusalem. Associated Press writers Wafaa Shurafa in Deir al-Balah, Gaza Strip; Lee Keath in Cairo; and Matthew Lee in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, contributed.

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Families Reunite With 17 Thai Hostages Freed by Hamas at Homecoming

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Informal Debt Registry Starts And Reveals How People Struggle

BANGKOK – As part of the government’s program to combat informal debt, which has been declared a national agenda, citizens who have problems can now register. Registration began on December 1 at provincial justice centers and district offices across the country.

On the first day, a total of 22,090 people across the country in all 77 provinces were registered, with the majority registering via the online system: 21,001, walk-ins 1,089, the number of creditors 11,539, and total debt 935.31 million baht. The province with the highest number of registrants is Bangkok, with 1,529 cases.

In some provinces, citizens began registering early in the morning, for example in Loei province in the northeast, Songkhla province in the south and Nakhon Sawan province in the central region.

Many people explained how their overwhelming debts came about. They attributed it to the exorbitantly high interest rates, which made it impossible to repay the capital.

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Yala

A 50-year-old woman from Chaiyaphum province said that she had opened a small store in Na Fai sub-district. When the COVID-19 pandemic broke out, her business suffered losses, so she had no money for the household, could not send her children to school and had no access to loans from financial institutions.

Therefore, she decided to borrow money informally, totaling 130,000 baht with an interest rate of 5 percent per month, equivalent to 7,000 baht in interest per month. She had been paying interest for over a year, but the principal amount of 130,000 baht remained untouched.

songkla
Songkla

If she missed a monthly interest payment, she would have had to pay additional penalties and higher interest. She therefore decided to register to pay off her informal debt.

A man in Songkhla province said he borrowed money from acquaintances for his child’s education because he could not get a student loan at the time. He borrowed 100,000 baht and paid interest of 6,500 baht per month for 3 years. Now the creditor wants the loan amount back, but he doesn’t have the means to repay it, so he has sought help.

Anutin Charnvirakul, the deputy prime minister and interior minister in charge of the debt project, said the government has opened three registration channels: at justice centers, online and by sending officials to inspect communities and areas to minimize errors. This includes opening registrations on the first day.

anutin debt
Anutin Charnvirakul, the deputy prime minister and interior minister

The work of government officials is about reviewing contracts. If there are provisions in the contracts that are contrary to the law, such as the creditor receiving excessive interest that the debtor cannot repay, the government must protect fairness and ensure a win-win situation where the creditor receives the principal and reasonable interest and the debtor is not unfairly pressured.

When asked by journalists about the confusion over the registration of debt relief and the partial settlement of debts by the government, Mr. Anutin stated, “Absolutely not, but we will help bring down the unjust interest rates. Let the media contribute to clarification. Otherwise there could be misunderstandings.”

nakhon sawan
Nakhon Sawan

In summary, this project is about reorganization. It is not intended to initiate legal action or investigations. Other matters are the responsibility of other authorities; we don’t have time to expand our coverage.”

On 8 December, Prime Minister and Finance Minister Srettha Thavisin will give the political go-ahead on the project. Operational levels include district officials and police chiefs across the country.

Registration will run from 1 December 2023 to 29 February 2024. State officials will collect information on debtors of various kinds from 15 December 2023 to March 2024 to help registered debtors.

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Tragic Death of a Single Mother and Her Child Underscore the Issue of Loan Shark

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The Treasure Hunter Recovered the Client’s Decade-Old Bracelet

BANGKOK – On December 1, Mr. Pat, the owner of the treasure hunting Facebook page, managed to find a customer’s missing bracelet that had been lost in the water 10 years ago.

This achievement earned him a lot of admiration on social media after the customer had tried to find it several times without success. This success made her very happy, as the bracelet belonged to her mother and had a high sentimental value.

Pat revealed to Khaosod Online that this customer had contacted him to find the bracelet that her mother had dropped in a canal near her house 10 years ago and that she desperately wanted back. It was her mother’s favorite bracelet and she felt a deep longing for it, especially since her mother had passed away 4 years ago. The customer wanted this bracelet back as she saw it as a reflection of her mother.

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Mr.Pat spent more than 6 hours trying to find the bracelet.

He saw that it was possible to find it, so he decided to take the job. The first time he went on the search, the equipment was incomplete, so he was unable to complete the task. He came back to search a second time and spent more than 6 hours.

“The search was quite difficult because the site used to be a wooden pavilion and was later converted into a concrete pavilion. There was all sorts of garbage, branches and clay. When he found it, he wanted to surprise the woman. When she saw it, she cried so loudly that I wanted to cry too. We understand the feeling of someone who has found their lost belongings,” said Pat.

The treasure hunter also said that he was very happy to be a small part of this person’s life because he could help her find what she had lost. He was happy that he could contribute to many people who may have lost hope or who, when they see her again, find more motivation to live.

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Bangkok Will Tighten Pollution Standards for Diesel Vehicles

standards

BANGKOK – Bangkok governor Chadchart Sittipunt said on December 1 that the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration will impose stricter standards for diesel vehicles’ exhaust in a bid to rein in the level of PM2.5 microdust particles. The decision came after a meeting with the Energy Ministry.

Engine oil will be required to be changed more frequently along with car filter. Exact measures will soon be announced. Chadchart said he will also discuss with governors from neighbouring provinces on how to reduce agricultural waste burning.

standards

Pravit Rojanaphruk reported last Thursday that Chadchart said a year and a half after being elected Bangkok Governor that he has yet to be able to rein in on the proliferation of PM2.5 microdust particles that affect the capital.

“We still have problems. Measuring the air quality would be an important issue,” Chadchart told the audience at Alliance Francaise in Bangkok.

The governor was a guest of honour at the closing event of the 2023 AIRLAB Microsensors Challenge organized by the French Embassy which was microsensors being installed in Bangkok on top of the Alliance Francaise building to measure its air quality with that of northern France, a project handled by not-for-profit Airparif, an independent air quality observatory for the greater Paris region.

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Bangkok governor Chadchart Sittipunt

Chadchart added despite Bangkok having 70 measuring stations at present, there’s a need for good quality microsensors in Bangkok and he’s talking about a figure like one thousand of them. “We need good quality microsensors so this project is very helpful,” the governor said, and thanked new French Ambassador to Thailand Jean-Claude Poimboeuf.

The governor added that working from home is an alternative but that requires good data about specific parts of Bangkok to support the decision making process.
Poimboeuf meanwhile noted in a speech at the same event that according to the World Health Organization (WHO), more than 30,000 deaths in Thailand can annually be attributed to ambient air pollution.

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The 2023 AIRLAB Microsensors Challenge event

“France is determined to support international initiatives to combat atmospheric pollution. This microsensors challenge is one of them,” said the French Ambassador, adding that his embassy is keen to develop Franco-Thai cooperation in environmental protection.

“At the regional level, France strongly supports the United Nations regional commission UN-ESCAP decision to identify air pollution as a priority issue. France also supports the ongoing implementation of the Regional Action Programme on Air Pollution adopted just a year ago.”

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French Ambassador to Thailand Jean-Claude Poimboeuf

Bangalore based air quality expert Dr R (Subu) Subramanian said microsensors are suitable for large cities like Bangkok and Paris but warns that it took the US three to four decades to solve the air pollution problem, however.

In India, said UN ESCAP representative Anshuman Varma, people stand to gain six to seven years of life expectancy if the air quality is at the average acceptable level.

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