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Thai-Myanmar Trade 'Expanding By 22%'

(9 November) The trade between Thailand and Myanmar expanded 22% in 2013, after Myanmar opens its arms to welcome trade and investment, said Ms. Nantawan Sukuntanak, Director-General of the Department of International Trade Promotion (DITP).

 In the first nine months of year 2013, the trade between Thailand and its neighbour generated at least THB 6 billion (USD 2,777 million), while Imports from Myanmar elaborated 12% to THB 90 billion (USD 2.9 billion).  
 
 Earlier this year, DITP expects the cross-border trade between two nations to hit 25% in 2013, and 30% in 2014, excluding of the border trades which are generally worth 3 – 4 times bigger than the conventional trades; trades along the borders of Thailand and Myanmar are conducted in less formal manner, without going through international banking system.
 
 Overall Thailand exports to members of the ASEAN also expanded 6.3% to THB 1.4 trillion, whereas imports from the Southeast Asian countries to Thailand also grew to THB 0.991 trillion or at least 5.8%.
 

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'Red Sunday' Coordinator Urges Redshirts To Form Party

(8 November) The coordinator of the more progressive faction of the Redshirts has called on the movements to establish their own political party and be independent from what he called the exploitative nature of the Pheu Thai Party.

Mr. Sombat Boon-ngarmanong, who prefers to be referred to as ′horizontal leader′ (แกนนอน) rather than a vertical one (แกนนำ), was speaking as a panelist at the event hosted by Foreign Correspondent Club of Thailand (FCCT) in Bangkok.

 
He was slated to speak alongside two other prominent Redshirts leaders: Ms. Thida Tojirakarn, chairwoman of the National United Front of Democracy Against Dictatorship (UDD), and Mr. Jatupon Prompan, who had also served as an MP of Pheu Thai Party.
 
However, Ms. Thida and Mr. Jatupon cancelled their appearance in the last minute, citing security concerns, as thousands of anti-government protesters were converging just few metres away from the building where FCCT is housed to voice their anger against the government′s ′blanket amnesty′ bill.
 
The panel came at a time when the Redshrits are believed to be experiencing a deep rift with Pheu Thai Party following the party′s push for the ′blanket amnesty′ deal that would let those responsible for authorising the bloody crackdown on Redshirts protests in 2010 to be absolved of any legal accountability.
 
The panel was also co-chaired by Mr. Yukti Mukdawijitra, an academic who has studied extensively on the Redshirts movements.
 
Mr. Sombat told the audience via an interpreter that the division between Pheu Thai Party and its longtime ally the Redshirts is very "serious", and that is very interesting.
 
"In my estimates, 80% of Redshirts are angry at Pheu Thai," said Mr. Sombat, "Their anger suggests that Redshirts are finally feeling their own power. They feel they own these politicians," 
 
That anger can translate into real political consequence, according to Mr. Sombat, as it means Pheu Thai would lose substantial votes among its supporters in the next election. He cited his own experience. "I have a problem now. I am not sure who to vote for anymore. I′m sure many Redshirts are confused, too".
 
While some Redshirts are bound to defend the current government from the attempts by anti-government factions to overthrow it ("because they feel they built this government"), and while Pheu Thai might try to reconcile the Redshirts into its fold, the UDD and Pheu Thai cannot coexist anymore because the Redshirts now feel they had been betrayed by their allied party, Mr. Sombat said.
 
According to the activist, how Pheu Thai Party tramples on the rule of laws in its pursuit of ′amnesty for all′ also help prove the Yellowshirts right that politicians are evil.
 
If the ongoing political turmoil ever leads to dissolution of the Parliament, Mr. Sombat warned, Pheu Thai Party might not emerge from a new election as ruling party because it has alienated so many votes from the Redshirts and the swing voters, while even the 17 million Thais who had refused to vote in previous elections might simply decide to go to ballots this time just to punish Pheu Thai Party.
 
As the rift between the UDD and Pheu Thai Party is in full view, the Red Sunday activist urged the Redshirts to form their own political party to push their own agenda, independent of Pheu Thai politicians′ attempt to subvert the movements.
 
He also shared his analysis of the factors that had led to the current conflict between the Redshirts and Pheu Thai, noting that "those pushing for democracy uses election to achieve it, while those pushing for electoral victory uses democracy as the rhetoric to achieve it," hence dividing the movements into democratic activists and electoral politicians. 
 
"We want to see politicians who are also believers of democracy. We like to say we are believers of democracy and that the other is not," Mr. Sombat said, "But it isn′t true. There are people who exploit democracy in both sides."
 
He continued, "Look at the anti-amnesty protesters. They have legitimacy to oppose the government. It is good when people examine their government. They feel like they have power in this nation. But what I feel bad about Yellowshirts is that they are obsessed with the issues of personality and the institution [of the monarchy] when they talk about democracy. That made them look backward".
 
Both Yellowshirts and Redshirts, in Mr. Sombat′s belief, can compliment each other in Thailand′s quest toward democracy, as the Yellowshirts focus on shaping the personality of who should be allowed to rule Thailand, while the Redshirts focus on building institutions that would keep check and balance on those politicians. "All sides should do their jobs", Mr. Sombat added.
 
Yet, the conflict between the two colours arises, and Mr. Sombat believes it is due to the each side′s attachment to personalities. 
 
"The Yellowshirts are obsessed with the monarchy … They see His Majesty the King as a god," Mr. Sombat complained, "And the Redshirts falsely view Thaksin as champion of democracy. They see him as a god of poor people", so the conflict boils down to the battle of personalities – about arguing whose hero is better.
 
"Maybe we Thais don′t like to talk about principles," Mr. Sombat lamented. 

 

 

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Fewer Chinese Tourists Due To Tightened Tourism Law

PM Yingluck Shinawatra hosting Premier Li Keqiang of China during his visit to Bangkok

(8 November) Number of tourists from China to Thailand has dropped by 50-70% since the Chinese authorities enacted a crackdown on the extortive ?zero dollar tours?, according to the Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT).

Under the scheme of ?zero dollar tours?, tourists from China paid very little to tour operators for their trips to Thailand, but they would be later coerced into paying for unwanted services and products, while the tour organisers rake in the commissions.
 
The scheme has been criticised by many experts, and on 1 October the Chinese government finally enacted a legislation prohibiting the operation of ?zero dollar tours?.
 
Mr. Pongsatorn Ketsamlee, Deputy Director of the Asian and South Pacific section of TAT, said the law has led to a massive decrease of Chinese tourists traveling to Thailand. 
 
However, Mr. Pongsatorn believes the law will eventually benefit Thailand’s tourism industry in the long term as it terminated some long-overdue problems, such as the scamming of Chinese tourists by business owners and tour operations.
 
“The law urges our organisation and travel agencies to reassess the real demand of Chinese tourists” said Mr. Pongsatorn, “We have communicated more to seek in-depth information about the tour business.”
 
He continued, “For example, in case of historical products, we must try to highlight the historic links between Thailand and China, because if Chinese tourists can learn more about the history of their ancestors, the tour will be more valuable”.
 
The new law also leads to the 30 – 50% fall in expected numbers of coming in tourists in this year′s fourth quarter, after tour reservation and airline reservation decreased. Moreover, the price for the tour had doubled from last year, from ?20,000 – 25,000 to ?40,000 – 65,000.
 
“The newly established law resulted in the cancellations of charter flight from various airlines”, said Mr. Pongsatorn, “however, we need to see whether the service could resume again in December and January which coincide with  [international] New Year Day and Chinese New Year Day."
 
“On the positive side, this bill encouraged Chinese tourists to travel in the closer destinations in Asia rather than going to Europe” added Mr. Pongsatorn.
 
The deputy director also expressed his delight that over 3.23 million Chinese tourist have visited Thailand in the fourth quarter, exceeding the expectation of 17% increase projected by the TAT.
 
 

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Consumers Confidence 'Lowest In 19 Months'

(8 November) Thai economy continues to take the toll from the ongoing political crisis, according to a number of experts, with data showing that consumers confidence has hit the bottom in the past year and half.

Mr. Thanawan Phonwichai, the director of the Business and Economics Forecasting Center at the University of Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC), said that the consumer confidence index in October 2013 revealed the lowest numbers in 19 months at 76.6. 
 
The lowered resulted is believed to have been partly due to political instability, weakened economic growth, and the uncertainty of global economic performance. 
 
Meanwhile, Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister, Mr. Kittirat Na Ranong, said that the prospect of Thai Economy is to expand 5% in 2014, but admitted the possibility of failing to achieve the expected GDP in 2013 due to the current political restraints, as thousands of protests took to the streets to protest the government′s plan of ?blanket amnesty?.
 
“I have asked every party to understand about forgiveness, but I do not think I had succeeded” said Mr. Kittirat, “The current situation is that we are not yet ready to forgive.”
 
Ms. Saowanee Thairungrojna, Rector of UTCC, also unveiled the result of an opinion survey conducted by the university. The survey, she said, noted that 65.4% of 1,200 subjects disagree with the Amnesty Bill, whereas only 22.5% agree.
 
The UTCC rector suggested that there are four possibilities for Thai Economy to grow in the coming year; first, if the conflict dissolve within 1-2 weeks, 2013 GDP could remain at 3.5% while 2014 GPD is aimed to be 5.1%, and 20 trillion baht would be lost in the political turmoil.
 
Second, if the political restraint last until the end of the year, 2013 GDP should be 3.3-3.4% and 5.1% in 2014.
 
Third, if the protest lasts until the end of this year and is escalated to a violent stage, the country may suffer 30 – 60 trillion baht losses, as 2013 GDP remains 3 – 3.2%.
 
Fourth, if the protest resulted in violence situation until next year, this year GDP would result in 3 – 3.2% and 4.5 – 4.7% in 2014. The total loss could be up to 200 trillion baht.
 

 

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Thaksin's Aide Insists No Crackdown On Amnesty Protests

(8 November) Mr. Noppadon Pattama, legal advisor to former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, posted on his Facebook that there would be no crackdown on the protests against the controversial amnesty bill as claimed by a rumour.

Anti-government critics have been holding mass protests in Bangkok, denouncing the amnesty plan proposed by the ruling Pheu Thai Party that would have absolved the former Prime Minister of his corruption convictions and allowed him to return to power in Thailand.
 
The anti-government faction also accused Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra of taking orders from her elder brother; for instance, calling for an urgent Senate vote today, instead of the schedule date of 11 November, to quickly reject the amnesty proposal in order to bring the controversy surrounding the amnesty plan to an end.
 
However, Mr. Noppadon said Mr. Thaksin has no say over when the Senators would meet, as it is solely up to the Chairman of the Senate to decide.
 
He also dispelled the rumour that the police have been instructed to quell the protests against the bill by next week. According to Mr. Noppadon, Ms. Yingluck has confirmed she will not apply violent method against the crowds.
 
“The protesters are also Thai people with different perspectives, not our enemy,” wrote Mr. Noppadon, quoting the Prime Minister.
 
“The police would act in accordance with the law. No real ammunition, no sniper, and definitely no order to use military weapons to disperse the protests," he added, referring to the 2010 military crackdown against the Redshirts protests authorised by former PM Abhisit Vejjajiva, which saw the deployment of military snipers and uses of live ammunition. 
 
Meanwhile, Pol.Gen. Pongsapat Pongcharoen, deputy commander of the Royal Thai Police, told our correspondent the police force have been instructed by Ms. Yingluck to use patience and tolerance toward the protesters. 

 

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Russian Driver 'Dozes Off' Prior To Deadly Crash

(8 November) Two Russian tourists were killed in a road accident on Nakhon-Surat Road in Nakorn Si Thammarat province yesterday after the driver reportedly dozed off and crashed the vehicle into a large tree.

Police and rescue workers arrived at the scene to find two Russians trapped inside the damaged car. They were later identified as Mr. Muttafan, 35 and Ms. Aya, 28 (spelling transcribed from Thai text).

Nearby, police found another Russian tourist, identified as Ms. Ira, 28, who is believed to have been thrown out of the car.
 
The tourists were transported to Sichon Hospital, where Mr. Muttafan and Ms. Ira later died.
 
Initial investigation revealed that the Russians are relatives on their vacation in Thailand. The family had previously holidayed in Samui Island and later traveled to Malaysia, police said. 
 
On their way back to Samui Island from Malaysia, Mr. Muttafan, who was driving the car, fell asleep and caused the car to spin off the road, eventually hitting a large tree, according to the officers.

 

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Japanese Investors 'Undaunted' By Amnesty Protests

(7 November) There has been no sign of decrease in Japanese investment in Thailand in spite of the ongoing protests, said Mr. Susumu Uneno, President of Japan Chamber of Commerce (JCC).

According to Mr. Uneno, the Japanese investors had become familiar with Thai political cultures and have not yet withdrawn their investment in the kingdom like they did during the previous political restraints in the past couple of years.

Once the political crises are solved, the investors always return, Mr. Uneno said, creating a lesson for the Japanese to "learn and adapt to Thai political problems".

Mr. Kosit Panpiemras, Executive Chairman of Bangkok Bank, agrees with Mr. Uneno and said that there is no need to worry about the current political movement as many financiers are seeking long term investments.

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Newly Released Convict Robs Russian Tourist In Pattaya

(7 November) Pattaya police have arrested a man accused of robbing a Russian tourist during her night out in the seaside town.

Ms. Katerina Frolova, 30, told the police that while she was walking in Pattaya street with her husband, a mugger pushed her down before taking away her handbag.
 
The tourist described the assailant as a young man, wearing dark blue shirt and a pair of camouflage trousers.
 
After some investigation, the police arrested Mr. Anurak La-Ong-On, 22, a resident of Muang Chonburi district, Chonburi province, whom they accused of committing the crime. 
 
The suspect then confessed to the charge, stating that he had been previously serving sentence for illegal substance abuse and was released from the prison in the same evening he committed the robbery.
 
He said his motive was to steal her cash so he can buy drugs again.
 
 

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Phuket Senator Condemns 'Exaggerated' Crocodile Rumour

(7 November) Officials in Phuket province continue to search for the crocodile reportedly seen swimming just off the shore of the popular resort island earlier this week.

Khaosod English has previously reported that a large crocodile was found swimming near Haad Mai Khao Beach in the southern province. However, some people claimed they had spotted two other crocodiles near Kata-Karon Beach and in Tai Mueang district, which locates in the neighbouring Phang-Nga province. 
 
The rumour has caused concern among a number of tourists and business owners in the province, as Kata-Karon Beach is teemed with beachside hotels popular among many foreign tourists, our correspondent reported. 
 
Mr. Prarop Pleang-Ngan, director of the provincial National Park agency, said that his teams had patrolled the area near Haad Mai Khao beach and Pru Je san with infrared camera to locate the crocodile. They had also tried to lure the creature using poultry as baits, but have not yet successfully found the reptile.
 
He expressed his opinion that the creature which was rumoured to be sighted near Kata Beach and in Tai Mueang district could be the same one previously found near Haad Mai Khao beach.
 
“Naturally, crocodiles prefer peaceful environment and it is unlikely that it will enter such busy area like Kata Beach” said Mr. Prarop, who indicated further that there has not been any clear evidence to confirm the presence of the crocodile in the sea near Kata Beach.
 
Nevertheless, search teams are planning to conduct an aerial inspection in Phang-Nga and Phuket to ensure that the crocodile is not causing any harm. 
 
Mr. Thanet Mannoi, Director of Marine and Coastal Conservation Centre, said a recent notification from Tai Mueang district suggested that the crocodile might have travel up north to find shelter in the area, and said that it is very possible that the creature could be the same one found near Haad Mai Khao beach.
 
The authorities cannot yet confirm the species of the crocodile, but it is suspected that the creature could be a hybrid type that has escaped from one of the local farms, he said.
 
Reportedly, there is no crocodile farm in Phuket, while three owners are reported to possess crocodiles in the neighbouring province of Phang-Nga. One of the farmers further indicated that he owns 14 large crocodiles, and 25 small ones. Other two owners reported to the authorities each of them owns only one crocodile.
 
Two crocodiles have previously escaped the Phang-Nga farm, causing the authorities to shoot one dead and capture the other alive.
 
Meanwhile, Ms. Thanyarasmi Atchariyachai, a Phuket Senator, condemned those who had spread the rumour about three crocodiles roaming the seas in Phuket, as the rumour has harmed the province′s tourism industry in the seaside area, particularly at Kata-Karon beach.
 
“It is nearly impossible for the crocodile to travel from Haad Mai Khao to Kata” Ms. Thanyarasmi added, “the areas are quite far apart.”
 
Pol.Maj. Uranphon Khundechsamrit, a senior officer of Phuket tourism police, said his team had not been notified about the crocodile near Kata beach. However, he had instructed his team to assure the tourists of their safety in the area.
 
Mr. Maitree Intusud, Phuket Governor, also told our correspondent he had instructed officers to guard the seaside area, and to keep close watch over the spots they expected the crocodile would surface.
 
“So far, there has been no report about the crocodile, and the tourists were not panicked” said Mr. Maitree, “However, I’d like to ask the media to carefully report the news, as it might damage the provincial tourism industry in an inestimable degree.”
 
Mr. Tian Jai-Kla, the owner of a beach canvas bed stall in Karon beach, said that he had never seen any crocodile throughout his 10 years of doing the business at the site.
 
“I don’t think the creature would come close to such a busy area” said the businessman, who added the crocodile would have been spotted long ago by so many people in the area. “Moreover, teams of lifeguard are patrolling the area to assure the tourists of their safety.”
 
“I think the rumour is false”, Mr. Tian insisted. 

 

 

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Claiming Students' Mandate, Universities Join Protests

(7 November) The leadership of some of Thailand′s leading universities have joined the ongoing anti-government protests on behalf of their universities.

The first establishment to ?blow the whistle? – a term used by critics of the government-sponsored Amnesty Bill to signify their protests – was the elite Chulalongkorn University. Thousands of its students, academics, and alumni marched to the heart of Bangkok′s commercial downtown earlier this week to show their strength against the government′s effort to push for a sweeping amnesty deal.

The protests were organised under the official endorsement of the university′s directors and deans.
 
Similarly, the directors of Thammasat University today organised a large rally involving its students, lecturers, and alumni at its Tha Prachan Campus before setting off on a demonstration to the nearby Democracy Monument, briefly merging with another group of anti-government protesters headed by the opposition Democrat Party who had been camping there for days.
 
At the start of the rally, Mr. Boonsom Akkarathammakul, an alumni of Thammasat who also served as a member of its student council in 1981, read the statement on behalf of the university that the government has "stigmatized" the function of Thai Parliament by stealthily revising the original amnesty into a version that would benefit former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra.
 
"They have lied for many times," Mr. Boonsom said, reading from the statement, "They claim to build reconciliation, but they only aim to score a political victory".
 
Although Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra has said the government will no longer pursue the controversial amnesty bill, the statement notes, the people have become so distrustful of the government that they will not take her words for granted.
 
The statement ends with a threatening note, warning the government that the people have the rights to overthrow it if it dishonours mandate given by the people.
 
A stone′s throw away from Thammasat University, Silpakorn University has likewise endorsed a campaign against the amnesty plan. Its staff has set up tables collecting signatures from the students and lecturers to denounce the ?amnesty for all?.
 
Mahidol University and Rangsit University have also announced a day-off for their students, encouraging them to join the protests against the ?blanket amnesty?. 
 
It should be noted that leading figures of Thammasat University and Rangsit University have been longtime critics of Mr. Thaksin and have publicly spoken out against the government of Prime Minister Yingluck.
 
Furthermore, at the scene of the demonstration held by Chulalongkorn University,the overwhelming majority of banners, signs, and placards held by the protesters virtually focused solely on the issues of Mr. Thaksin′s potential return from exile and absolution of his corruption charges, leaving out the issue of the 2010 military crackdown which has killed over 90 people, our correspondent reported. 
 
The rallies sponsored by Thammasat University also experienced such glaring absence of reference to 2010 crackdown, although a small group of students held signs demanding that the authorities responsible for the operation be held accountable.
 
The fact that the 2010 crackdown are not featured by these protests is particularly intriguing, as the former government who authorised the crackdown will also receive the amnesty under the plan. 
 
None of the aforementioned universities participating in the protests has conducted a referendum of their students? opinions concerning the amnesty prior to launching the rallies on their behalf, our correspondent added.
 

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