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Trump Gains Rattle World Markets, As Shares, Dollar Tumble

Money traders watch computer screens at a foreign exchange brokerage Wednesday in Tokyo. Photo: Shizuo Kambayashi / Associated Press

HONG KONG — The rising prospect of a Trump presidency jolted markets around the world Wednesday, sending Dow futures and Asian stock prices sharply lower as investors panicked over uncertainties on trade, immigration and geopolitical tensions.

At one point, Dow futures plunged more than 4 percent and Japan’s major index nosedived more than 6.1 percent, its largest drop in years. The Mexican peso likewise tumbled and investors looking for safe assets bid up the price of gold.

During the campaign, Trump threatened to rip up trade deals like the North American Free Trade Agreement. He pledged to greatly restrict immigration to the U.S and to build a wall along the United States’ southern border and force Mexico to pay for it.

But the lack of clear policy details has left many worldwide uneasy over the future direction of the U.S. economy. Share prices began tumbling as soon as Trump first gained the lead in the electoral vote count.

As of 1:00 a.m. EST (0600 GMT), Trump had taken 244 electoral votes to Hillary Clinton’s 215. It takes a minimum 270 votes to win.

Pricing in a possible Trump victory and presaging a gloomy Wednesday on Wall Street, Dow futures were down 3.7 percent or 679 points at 17,612.00 and S&P futures had dropped 4.4 percent to 2,041.70.

The Federal Reserve had been considered all but sure to raise interest rates at its next meeting in mid-December, reflecting a strengthened U.S. economy. But a Trump victory could make a rate hike less likely — especially if financial markets remain under pressure.

Trump’s strong talk on trade also has left many in Asia deeply worried.

“This is going to work as a strong headwind for the economy,” said Tomoyuki Ota, a senior economist at Mizuho Research Institute in Tokyo. He said a Trump victory could stifle spending during the critical year-end and Christmas shopping season.

Top officials from Japan’s central bank and finance ministry were to meet later Wednesday to discuss how to cope with the gyrations in financial markets. The Nikkei 225 stock index closed 5.4 percent lower, recouping some losses, at 16,251.54.

Elsewhere in Asia, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slumped 2.7 percent to 22,294.38 and South Korea’s Kospi shed 2.4 percent to 1,955.11. The Shanghai Composite index fell 0.2 percent to 3,141.87 and Australia’s S&P ASX/200 in sank 1.9 percent to 5,156.60.

Given Trump’s stance on NAFTA and immigration, economists have said the Mexican economy could fall into a contraction if he wins. As results emerged Wednesday, the Mexican peso swooned 11.5 percent to 20.73 pesos to the dollar.

The price of gold, seen as a safe place for investors’ money in times of uncertainty, was up 3.7 percent, at USD $1,321.40 an ounce.

The election uncertainty also jolted currency markets, sending investors fleeing from the dollar. The greenback plunged 3.5 percent to 101.22 yen from 105.46 earlier in the day. The euro rose to USD $1.1233 from USD $1.1020.

Energy markets were also roiled. Benchmark U.S. crude futures lost USD $1.26, or 2.7 percent, to USD $43.74 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose 9 cents to close at USD $44.98 a barrel on Thursday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, slid USD $1.07, or 2.4 percent, to USD $44.96 a barrel in London.

Story: Kelvin Chan

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Trump Likely to Win, Australia Foreign Chief Says

Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop in 2014 in Chatham House in London, England. Photo: Chatham House / Associated Press

MEXICO CITY — Australian Foreign Minister Julie Bishop says at this stage, it would appear that Donald Trump is most likely to claim the presidency.

Bishop told reporters in Canberra, Australia’s capital, that her government is ready to work with whomever the American people, “in their wisdom,” choose to be their president.

She says a U.S. presidential election is always a momentous occasion, and in this instance, “it has been a particularly bruising, divisive and hard-fought campaign.”

She also says the new administration will face a number of challenges, including in Asia-Pacific, and Australia wants to work constructively with the new administration to ensure the continued presence and leadership of the United States in the region.

She calls the U.S. “our major security ally” and the largest foreign direct investor and the second-largest trading partner.

She says: “The United States is also the guarantor and defender of the rules-based international order that has underpinned so much of our economic and security issues. And interests.”

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Long Faces Among Clinton Faithful as Results Are Screened

Supporters watch the election results on a larger television monitor Tuesday during Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton's election night rally in the Jacob Javits Center glass enclosed lobby in New York. Photo: Matt Rourke / Associated Press

WASHINGTON — The mood is dark at Hillary Clinton’s election night party.

Stony-faced supporters were crying and anxiously staring at the big screens showing election results. Some began leaving as the race wore on into the early hours of Wednesday morning.

Thousands had gathered at the Jacob K. Javits Convention Center in New York City for Clinton’s election night party. The glass-ceilinged building was picked as a nod to what aides expected would be the historic election of the first female U.S. president.

Clinton, her family and close aides have spent hours ensconced in a suite at the Peninsula New York, a luxury hotel in midtown Manhattan.

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Dow Futures, Asian Shares Tumble as Trump Leads Vote Count

A man walks past a display of the Hang Seng Index Wednesday at a bank in Hong Kong. Photo: Kin Cheung / Associated Press

HONG KONG — Financial markets went on a wild ride Wednesday, as Wall Street index futures and Asian stock benchmarks tumbled on the rising possibility of a Trump presidency.

Shares had been higher early in Asia’s Wednesday trading session but then turned sharply as investors unloaded shares when Donald Trump first gained the lead in the electoral vote count.

A Trump presidency is seen likely to bring added uncertainty on various issues, including trade policies.

Pricing in a possible Trump victory, Dow futures were down 3.8 percent or 687 points at 17,593.00 and S&P futures had dropped 4.6 percent to 2,037.80.

Oil and the dollar tumbled, the Mexican peso sank and gold surged as investors sought a safe haven.

As of 11:30 EST (0430 GMT), Trump had taken 216 electoral votes to Hillary Clinton’s 197.

In Asian trading, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index plunged 4.2 percent to 16,458.75 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slumped 2.8 percent to 22,262.74. South Korea’s Kospi shed 2.7 percent to 1,949.07, the Shanghai Composite index fell 1.3 percent to 3,106.23 and Australia’s S&P ASX/200 in sank 1.7 percent to 5,167.00.

Benchmarks in Taiwan, Singapore, the Philippines and Indonesia also lost ground.

“A Trump victory would be certain to surprise markets and generate a global uncertainty shock,” Societe Generale economists Klaus Baader and Michala Marcussen said in a research report.

Trump was locked in tight races across a handful of key battleground states with polls beginning to close across the nation. In early results, Trump the Republican and Clinton the Democrat scored in their expected strongholds. By about 9:30 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (0230 GMT) the count showed Donald Trump with 137 electoral votes to Clinton’s 104.

“Rightly or wrongly, markets are going to be concerned about a Trump victory, particularly given the potential consequences for world trade and its impact on many large companies in the U.S. stock market,” said Ric Spooner, chief analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney. “Like Brexit, the rally over the last two days increases the downside potential if Donald Trump does win the election,” he added, referring to Britain’s unexpected vote to leave the European Union that shook world markets.

The price of gold, seen as a safe place for investors’ money in times of uncertainty, soared 3.1 percent to USD $1,313.50 an ounce.

The election uncertainty also jolted currency markets, sending investors fleeing from the dollar. The greenback plunged 3.0 percent to 101.79 yen from 105.46 earlier in the day. The euro rose to USD $1.1228 from USD $1.1020.

The exception was the Mexican peso, which swooned 10.7 percent to 20.31 pesos to the dollar.

Trump has threatened to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement and vows to build a wall along the United States’ southern border and force Mexico to pay for it.

Financial analyst Gabriela Siller of Banco BASE issued a forecast earlier Tuesday that a victory by Donald Trump could cause the rate to fall to 24 to the dollar next year and lead to a 3 percent economic contraction in Mexico.

Energy markets were also roiled. Benchmark U.S. crude futures lost USD $1.35, or 3 percent, to USD $43.63 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose 9 cents to close at USD $44.98 a barrel on Thursday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, slid USD $1.11, or 2.3 percent, to USD $44.93 a barrel in London.

Story: Kelvin Chan

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Democrats’ Path to Senate Majority Slips Away

Sen. Richard Burr, R-N.C., talks to supporters as he gives his acceptance speech after winning re-election Tuesday in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. Photo: Nell Redmond / Associated Press

WASHINGTON — Democrats’ chances of retaking the Senate majority were slipping away Tuesday as Republicans hung onto key seats in Wisconsin, North Carolina, Indiana and Florida.

Democrats grabbed a Republican-held seat in Illinois, but the outcome in Wisconsin was a surprise as both parties had expected it to flip for the Democrats. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson’s victory over former Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold forecast a grim night for the Democrats, who could be consigned to minority status on Capitol Hill for years to come.

Races in GOP-held Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Missouri remained too close to call as Republicans defended a slim 54-46 majority in an unpredictable election year. Democrats would have to win all of those and hang onto Democratic-held Nevada to reach a 50-50 outcome, and could then only claim majority status if Democrat Hillary Clinton wins the White House. The vice president casts tie-breaking votes in the Senate.

As the night wore on Democratic operatives struggled to explain why their optimistic assessments of retaking Senate control were so mistaken. Some were blaming FBI Director James Comey’s bombshell announcement that he was reviewing a new batch of emails connected with Clinton for breathing life into GOP campaigns.

Senate Republicans, too, had feared they would have a bad night Tuesday, and some were taken by surprise as they racked up win after win.

In North Carolina, Democrats had high hopes of unseating entrenched GOP incumbent Sen. Richard Burr, who infuriated even his own party with his laidback campaign style. But in the end he had little trouble holding off a challenge from Democrat Deborah Ross, a former state legislator and director of the North Carolina ACLU.

In Indiana, GOP Rep. Todd Young beat former Democratic senator and governor Evan Bayh, who mounted a much-ballyhooed comeback bid, but wilted under scrutiny.

And in Florida, GOP Sen. Marco Rubio beat Democratic Rep. Patrick Murphy, giving Rubio a platform from which he could mount another bid for president in 2020. The outcome was not unexpected since Murphy had been abandoned by his own party in the final weeks of the campaign, but polls had tightened heading into Election Day.

In Arizona, meanwhile, GOP Sen. John McCain, at age 80, won his sixth term in quite possibly his final campaign. The 2008 GOP presidential nominee was re-elected without much difficulty despite early predictions of a competitive race, and struck a reflective note ahead of the outcome.

“While as Yogi Berra said, ‘I hate to make predictions, especially about the future,’ I’m not sure how many more I have in me,” McCain said.

Democrats’ only pick-up so far came in Illinois, where GOP Sen. Mark Kirk had long been considered the most endangered Republican incumbent. Democratic Rep. Tammy Duckworth, a double-amputee Iraq war veteran, ousted Kirk.

In New York, Sen. Chuck Schumer, the Democrats’ leader-in-waiting for a new Congress, easily won re-election. But the results suggested he would be leading a Senate minority when he replaces retiring Nevada Sen. Harry Reid in the leader’s role.

Nonetheless Schumer struck an optimistic note addressing supporters in Manhattan. “I hope the voters of America will bless us with a Democratic majority in the Senate,” he said.

GOP incumbents around the country had faced energized Democratic challengers trying to oust them in costly and caustic battles shadowed every step of the way by the polarizing presidential race between Republican Donald Trump and Clinton.

The GOP retook the majority just two years ago. And even though control of the Senate is likely to be razor-thin whichever party ends up on top, the advantages of being in the majority are significant. The controlling party holds the committee chairmanships, sets the legislative agenda and runs investigations. First up is likely to be a nominee to fill the vacancy on the Supreme Court.

Reid was retiring after five terms and trying to engineer a Democratic successor in Nevada. Democrats were optimistic that a strong Latino vote, and Republican hopeful Rep. Joe Heck’s stumbles with Trump, would keep Nevada in their column.

Missouri, like North Carolina, was a GOP-friendly state that turned unexpectedly competitive as incumbent Republican Sen. Roy Blunt seemed caught unawares by the nation’s restless mood.

Throughout the campaign the Senate races provided moments of drama, not least as GOP candidates grappled with sharing a ticket with Trump. That tripped up Sen. Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire after she asserted at one point that Trump could “absolutely” be a role model for the nation’s youth.

In Nevada, Heck ended the campaign refusing to say whether or not he’d vote for Trump. Pennsylvania GOP Sen. Pat Toomey, too, kept voters in suspense until the eleventh hour before disclosing late Tuesday that he voted for Trump.

Story: Erica Werner

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Confidence Gives Way to Dread at Bangkok Election Party

From left, Suzanne Walker, Kirstin Lamoureux and Gudrun Roy watch returns come in from the U.S. general elections on Wednesday morning at Roadhouse Barbecue in Bangkok.

BANGKOK — They came expecting to put the whole mess behind them. But a world away, it was the Sunshine State that first planted doubts in the early morning optimism at a Bangkok barbecue joint where progressives gathered to watch U.S. election results Wednesday morning.

The consensus of most at Roadhouse Barbecue was that the curtain would swiftly fall on the Donald Trump show which dominated an unusually divisive and ugly campaign season. But after voting ended in Florida and the minutes dragged on with the needle tilting away from Hillary Clinton, the convivial chatter over eggs and toast grew tense.

Read: Mexican Peso Falls Sharply Against US Dollar

None of this surprised 36-year-old Carlos Centeno. Centeno stayed awake all night reading political news sites with a particular anxiety for his native state of Florida, which is closely watched for the uncertainty of who will benefit from its 29 electoral votes. A candidate needs 270 to win, and Clinton was widely favored to win by a comfortable margin going into Election Day.

After Florida’s results started coming in, he headed over to Roadhouse to watch things unfold. He said his concerns about Trump were practical.

“To be pragmatic, I don’t know who Trump would put in the White House,” he said.

As the morning dragged on toward noon, there were more pained faces hunched over smartphones and laptops looking for data that suggested an outcome other than a Trump presidency.

It was a much different mood than earlier. Just before 8:30am, the crowd cheered when Thai-American senate candidate Tammy Duckworth defeated the Republican incumbent in Illinois. They cheered when states such as New York, Minnesota and New Jersey were called for Clinton – but those were safely her’s.

Carlos Centeno, at right, watches rain fall outside a third-floor window Wednesday at Roadhouse Barbecue in Bangkok.
Carlos Centeno, at right, watches the rain fall outside a third-floor window Wednesday at Roadhouse Barbecue in Bangkok.

In fact most people said they were more concerned about the Democrat Party gaining control of the upper house to bolster a Clinton White House.

Annie Peyton, a 28-year-old in Bangkok for two months on a fellowship had been upbeat just a few hours earlier.

“This is probably the only election I’ll spend at 8am in a bar in Thailand,” she said, musing over the fact that people abroad seemed to know more about the political system in her country than most Americans.

That optimism would soon sour.

“I didn’t think we would be in this position,” she said at about 11am.

Before the clock struck noon, Centeno was not the only to replace the smartphone in his hand with a glass of bourbon.

Related stories:

Markets: Asian Shares Tumble as Trump Gains

Bangkok-Born Duckworth Wins Illinois Senate Seat

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College Rock Collision: Yo La Tengo and Modern Dog in Bangkok

BANGKOK One is an indie rock band from New Jersey known for delightful covers. The others are credited as the fathers of Thai alternative rock. Both remain timeworn favorites of ‘90s kids and will join forces on stage next month.

Praised as one of the best cover bands, American trio Yo La Tengo will perform on stage with Modern Dog, the pioneers of Thailand’s new rock era who famously opened for Radiohead in 1994.

Having released 14 studio albums in over 30 years, Yo La Tengo is famous for covers ranging from The Beach Boys’ “Little Honda” to The Cure’s “Friday, I’m in Love.” The band has also worked with artists such as Yoko Ono.

Tickets are 1,500 baht online and 1,700 baht at the door. Organized by the concert promoter Have You Heard?, Singha Light Live Series Vol. 004 – Yo La Tengo will take place at 8pm on Dec. 4 at Voice Space, Voice TV’s Vibhavadi Road venue.

It will be a good chance to see Modern Dog, who canceled their 22nd-anniversary concert at Impact Arena due to the death of His Late Majesty King Bhumibol.

Related stories:

Puppy Love: Alt Rock Legends Celebrate Two Decades of Modern Dog (Canceled)

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Mexican Peso Falls Sharply Against US Dollar

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump walks with Mexico's President Enrique Pena Nieto in August at the end of their joint statement at Los Pinos, the presidential official residence, in Mexico City. Photo: Dario Lopez-Mills / Associated Press

MEXICO CITY — The Mexican peso has fallen sharply against the U.S. dollar as early returns show a tight race for the White House.

Financial research firm FactSet says the currency is currently trading at 20.45 to the dollar. The Bank of Mexico’s interbank rate stood at 18.42 at the end of Tuesday’s trading day.

The peso has closely tracked the U.S. presidential race during the campaign, hardening when Clinton’s chances are seen as bullish and weakening when Donald Trump is seen as rising.

Financial analyst Gabriela Siller of Banco BASE issued a forecast Tuesday that a Trump victory could cause the peso to fall to 24 to the dollar next year and lead to a 3 percent economic contraction in Mexico.

Trump has threatened to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement and vows to build a wall along the United States’ southern border and force Mexico to pay for it.

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Gunman is Dead After Fatal Attack in California

A parent picks up her daughter at Slauson Middle School that was on lockdown as Azusa police and other agencies respond to a shooting Tuesday near Fourth Street and Orange Avenue in Azusa, California. Photo: Keith Durflinger / Associated Press

AZUSA, California — Authorities in California say a gunman is dead after killing a man and critically wounding two women not far from two polling places that were closed as a result.

They say the assault rifle attack in the Los Angeles suburb of Azusa wasn’t election-related.

The two polling sites were shut down for several hours Tuesday while officers surrounded a home where the gunman’s body was found. One later reopened.

Authorities called to the scene got into a gun battle and police say it’s unclear whether they fatally wounded the gunman or he killed himself. No officers were hurt.

The shooting took place not far from several schools, including one that was serving as a polling place, and across the street from a park that also had a polling site.

Police don’t have a specific motive for the shootings.

The names of the gunman and the dead man haven’t been released. The wounded victims are described as two women in their mid-50s.

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Markets: Asian Shares Tumble as Trump Gains

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump points to Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton during the third presidential debate in October in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo: Patrick Semansky / Associated Press

HONG KONG — Share benchmarks are tumbling across Asia after Donald Trump gained the lead in electoral votes, with 123 to Hillary Clinton’s 97 as of 9 p.m. EST (0200 GMT). Markets had opened solidly higher but quickly shed those gains, reflecting investor concern over what a Trump presidency might mean for the economy and trade.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 index dropped 2.4 percent to 16,777.85 as the U.S. dollar sank against the Japanese yen, a trend that would be unfavorable to exporters. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng plunged 1.7 percent to 22,514.70.

South Korea’s Kospi index fell 1.4 percent to 1,976.49 and Australia’s S&P ASX/200 lost 1.2 percent to 5,196.70.

Earlier, investors had appeared convinced that Hillary Clinton would win the presidency. Clinton is viewed as a more stable option who might maintain current policies.

In currency trading, the U.S. dollar was trading at 102.60 yen down from a high earlier in the session of 105.46. The euro was at USD $1.1142, up from its previous close of USD $1.1020.

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